Reality Check: No-Fly Zone Ukraine

A No-Fly Zone over Ukraine is a very popular topic at the moment. But there is little information out there on what it *actually* means for Ukraine, Russia, and western countries. Let us look at it in more detail! -…
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A No-Fly Zone over Ukraine is a very popular topic at the moment. But there is little information out there on what it *actually* means for Ukraine, Russia, and western countries. Let us look at it in more detail!

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– Sources –
BBC, No-fly zone: What it means and why the West won’t act, 2. March 2022, available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-60576443 (last accessed 7. March 2022).

Bronk, Justin, Is the Russian Air Force Actually Incapable of Complex Air Operations?, RUSI Defense Systems Vol. 24, 4. March 2022, available at https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/rusi-defence-systems/russian-air-force-actually-incapable-complex-air-operations (last accessed 7. March 2022).

McLaughlin, Rob, United Nations Security Council practice in relation to use of force in no-fly zones and martime exclusion zones, in Weller, Marc (ed), The Oxford Handbook of the Use of Force in International Law, Oxford University Press USA, Ebook: 2015.

Mike Pietrucha and Mike Benitez, The Dangerous Allure of the No-Fly Zone, War on the Rocks, 4. March 2022, available at https://warontherocks.com/2022/03/the-dangerous-allure-of-the-no-fly-zone/ (last accessed 7. March 2022).

Mueller, Karl P., Denying Flight: Strategic Options for Employing No-Fly Zones, RAND Corporation Research Reports: 2013.

Schmitt, Michael N., Clipped wings: Effective and Legal No-fly Zone Rules of Engagement, in Schmitt, Michael N. (ed), The Law of Military Operations: Liber Amicorum Professor Jack Grunawalt, International Law Studies Vol. 72, Naval War College Press, US, Rhode Island, Newport: May 1998.

Sophy Antrobus, No-fly zones would escalate the Ukraine war – but they shouldn’t be off the table, 5. March 2022, The Guardian, available at: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/05/no-fly-zones-ukraine-war-escalation (last accessed 7. March 2022).

– Visuals –
Department of Defense, NATO, Russian Military

Thumbnail Image: Robert Sullivan

– Timecodes –
00:00 – Intro
01:18 – What I will do in this video
02:23 – What is a No-Fly Zone?
03:58 – Assessment of past No-Fly Zones (Iraq, Kosovo, Libya)
05:21 – Situation in Ukraine
06:24 – Simulating a No-fly Zone over Ukraine
09:38 – A No-Fly Zone Reconsidered
11:46 – Russian advantage in a No-Fly Zone
13:23 – Open questions: Rules of Engagement / ‘legal’ targets
15:30 – It’s more complex than the name implies
16:44 – Outro

– Audio –
Music and Sfx from Epidemic Sound

#noflyzone #militaryaviationhistory #russianairforce

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